Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 108.069734 119.846816 131.988953 145.415689 159.819504 174.780722 191.468431
2024-10-20 86.267235 103.214728 121.630994 143.012273 167.033142 193.068934 223.302383
2024-10-27 70.297442 90.529577 113.641319 141.700278 174.541842 211.468072 255.819545
2024-11-03 60.939823 83.967520 111.484351 146.220646 188.315992 237.104120 297.322644
2024-11-10 52.822994 77.692956 108.707821 149.293027 200.036300 260.434777 336.756255
2024-11-17 46.559840 72.838416 106.936010 153.029609 212.272385 284.434233 377.465015
2024-11-24 41.753105 69.222890 106.199397 157.674617 225.469906 309.724456 420.227053
2024-12-01 34.390693 61.063350 98.530420 152.451920 225.418891 318.108587 441.941100
2024-12-08 29.165733 55.290229 93.483361 150.145090 228.701421 330.433509 468.544924
2024-12-15 25.745627 51.802909 91.283729 151.431239 236.572577 348.644404 502.847507
2024-12-22 23.056497 49.115016 89.949270 153.700301 245.661678 368.491749 539.520500
2024-12-29 21.546766 48.192048 91.146324 159.578092 259.821604 395.300070 585.743733
2025-01-05 19.549029 46.239569 90.668400 163.058352 270.902932 418.528473 628.183631
2025-01-12 16.851915 42.645315 87.245346 161.838144 275.130522 432.473270 658.512203
2025-01-19 14.607452 39.563294 84.365017 161.208961 280.080637 447.429980 690.430421
2025-01-26 13.605638 38.808412 85.344142 166.657083 294.127777 475.343955 740.496484
2025-02-02 12.434455 37.521806 85.260607 170.321778 305.529525 499.692646 786.023161
2025-02-09 11.472093 36.532904 85.592676 174.604238 317.898749 525.568067 833.990010
2025-02-16 10.717462 35.896053 86.493665 179.819047 331.784476 553.829703 885.681641
2025-02-23 8.776646 32.106761 81.141138 174.120903 328.421077 556.931370 901.969334
2025-03-02 7.437473 29.506292 77.794851 171.609321 329.864190 566.940580 928.041958
2025-03-09 6.631948 28.137818 76.754850 173.046777 337.581066 586.278369 967.637300
2025-03-16 6.002703 27.129384 76.349840 175.560041 347.049609 608.336497 1011.400785